Some
Thoughts On Aggression
By:
Rune Hansen (Z)
It
is my conviction that the vast majority
of poker players don't bet and raise enough.
Sometimes it takes a lot of guts to be
the aggressor, especially when you have
serious doubts on whether you're ahead
or behind. Yet it is extremely important
that you seize seize the initiative in
exactly those situations. Another thing
that most people (including yours truly)
don't do enough is folding. Whereas I
highly recommend betting on marginal hands,
I also recommend folding good hands when
you run into a raise. Betting marginal
hands will win you a lot of pots where
nobody has much, and folding good hands
for a raise will help you from losing
much when someone has a monster. And given
the fact that most players don't raise
enough, folding a winner for a raise,
will not cost you much, compared to call
them down every time.
Typically
raising is done for one or more of the
following reasons:
1.
Raising for value
2.Raising
to isolate
3.Raising
to get a free card
4.
Bluffing
These
reasons all represent a situation where
you have a clear idea of where you stand.
But oftentimes you need to raise in situations
where you cannot know whether you are
ahead or behind, simply to give yourself
information. You have a hand that you
will continue with, but you don't know
whether you're ahead or behind. You would
wish to get heads up, but as there are
a number of calling stations in the game,
you don't think you can succeed in this,
and you are not too sure that you can
bluff these players. Nevertheless betting
and raising is the best thing to do in
a lot of these marginal situations. Why?
For several reasons.
Let's
say you hold Kh2h in the BB and get to
see the flop for free in a 6-way pot.
The flop comes Ks10c3h. You have top pair
no kicker. Yet I think you should bet.
If someone has you out-kicked, so be it.
Now by betting the following things can
happen; first, your opponents will have
to consider a raise behind them when they
call -so you have a good chance that some
hands that have a few outs against you
will be folded. You will actually achieve
a certain amount of isolation by betting
here. If someone has a really good hand
and raises, you can fold with a smile,
knowing that you just saved your self
two big bets compared to check calling
it down. Furthermore, there is the possibility
that you actually do have the best hand.
In this case you're betting for value.
Lets for instance say your opponents hold
102, A5, 37c, 106, J9. You have the best
hand on the flop, but are still a slight
dog against their 18 outs combined. But
your bet makes the first three players
fold. Now you're only up against 106 and
J9, and you have reduced the number of
outs against you to 9, making you a solid
favorite. This will make up for the times
where you are out-kicked and your hand
doesn't improve to 2 pair.
Lets look at another situation: You hold
55 from MP in a 4-way pot. The flop is
338. First player checks and it's up to
you. Again, I think you should bet, and
if you fail to do so, you will, in my
opinion, have to raise or fold when someone
bets (the problem with a check raise here
is that it tends to suck people in, and
you want them out). If you bet, most players
will fold anything but a trey, or an eight
with a good kicker or a high pair. If
you check, someone will bet and try to
steal the pot, or bet for value, and you
will be the one having to guess which
of the two it is. But even if it is a
steal attempt, your fives are not in very
good shape here. You are up against two
overcards (6 outs) and these 6 outs will
hurt you. Had you bet, you could have
taken down the pot right there, whereas
now you will have to call it down as an
appr. 75-25 favorite (which is not a lot
considering the times where you are up
against a trey or an eight). Betting is
the play, and folding is the alternative.
As a matter of fact, the only situation
where check calling is okay is when you
have a draw with sufficient pot odds but
too many opponents to try a semi bluff.
Lets
look at a final hand that often gets people
in trouble: You have raised with AKo from
MP. Two players cold call behind you making
it 5-way. The flop comes 932 rainbow.
You can argue that on such a ragged flop
nobody stands to have gotten much help
from this flop. And had it been 2- or
3-way I probably could have kept firing.
But against 5 players this is an easy
check fold. You might easily be looking
at A2, A3 or A9 here. Yet I see a lot
of players getting married to the hands
they have raised preflop. It seems to
me that these players have their raising
philosophy all wrong. They only raise
with their great hands, and they get married
to these great hands long after it is
obvious that they have turned sour.
My raising philosophy is the opposite
of this. I like to be very liberal with
my raises, especially from mid to late
position, but to review the situation
completely as the hand progresses. Hey!
All I've done is that I've invested half
a big bet extra on a playable hand. Not
exactly a disaster.
Loosening
up on the preflop raising requirements
also makes it easier to walk away from
the raised hands when you miss the flop.
As a matter of fact, I'm willing to raise
any hand I'm willing to play. Why not?
If I'll play the hand, it must be because
I reckon that I stand to win more then
my fair share. Say 6 players have limped
to me on the button. Why not raise with
87s? 87s will win more then it's fair
share in 7-way action, so you are actually
value betting here! The raise might buy
you a free card (on a flop with only one
card of your suit, that free card may
be the difference between winning and
losing the pot!). You add quite a bit
of deception to your hand, as well as
to later hands. When you hit your hand
you will get more action then you deserve,
as your opponents will put you on high
cards. And as the game progresses some
of your opponents will start to realize
that a raise from you can mean anything
from 87s to AA. As they will have to do
the guesswork, you will probably get more
action on your premium hands then you
deserve to. And finally, as you will be
playing a lot of odd hands for a raise
preflop, it will get a lot easier to lay
down that big slick when you miss the
flop. You get all of these benefits for
an extra small bet here and there. It
is simply too cheap to let it go.
A
final note on this subject concerns "the
language of poker". To win a hand you
either must have the best hand at showdown,
or make everybody else lay down their
hand prior to the showdown. When you start
out playing poker, your main concern is
your own hand. But as you gain more experience
you should start to realize that all you
need at showdown is the best hand (which
can be a rather mediocre hand at times),
and that the worst hand you can hold is
the second best. When you realize this,
your focus should shift from your own
hand to your opponents' hand (you are
now experienced enough to know the absolute
strength of any hand, so now you can focus
on it's strength relative to the hand
of your opponent). At this point poker
becomes a game of communication and the
language being a type of Morse code made
up of bets and raises. To illustrate,
take a look at this hand:
In a tight aggressive game a player from
MP has raised. Everybody folds to me in
the big blind, and I call with Qh10h.
The flop comes Jd10d4h, and we start to
communicate.
Me: Check
Him: Bet
Me: Raise (I like my hand)
Him: Re-raise (You'll have to pay to see
that flush draw through)
Me: Cap (I'm not on a draw. You're looking
at a queen or better. If you have AA,
KK or AQ you might have me beat, but anything
else is definitively no good)
Turn
and river are blanks, and he folds for
a bet on the river, probably holding AK
or AJ.
Now
this example shows an interesting thing
about poker, namely that there are two
completely different games going on, and
often at the same time. In loose passive
games poker is all abut pot odds, and
manipulating the pot. Most hands will
reach showdown, so you will win a relatively
low percentage of the pots you enter,
but the pots you do win, will be of a
decent size, especially if you bet the
hands you decide to play (remembering
that you don't necessarily need a monster
- just the best hand). But when only 2-3
players see the flop, shorthanded strategy
applies, and here you simply don't get
pot odds to draw. But at the same time,
it usually takes less of a hand to win
at showdown, and many hands end before
showdown. Therefore, your poker language
skills come into play (you need to be
able to persuade your opponents to fold,
and you need to get out of their way when
they do the same to you). The funny thing
about this is that on most tight aggressive
tables, individual hands where a lot of
players limp, I will come up, and you
will have to apply the strategy from loose
passive games. Also shorthanded pots do
come up in low limit games, and here you
can use shorthanded strategy to your benefit.
As
in the example above, shorthanded strategy
starts out with an analysis of the flop,
and what hands your opponent might hold
when he decides to proceeds from the given
flop. The "discussion" in the example
given above, centers on the fact that
a Jd10d4h flop, contains a lot of draws
for straights (with legitimate start hands)
and flushes. So all the betting and raising,
basically concerns whether you have a
draw or a made hand (or both)? On a flop
of say 2h6s9d the only meaningful draws
are 78 and 810, so the same betting sequence
would amount to the following:
Me:
Check
Him: Bet
Me: Raise (I have a piece of the board)
Him: Re-raise (I have a pair, not AK)
Me: Cap (I can beat an overpair, or I
don't believe you. Pick your choice)
Now
the thing about aggression as a means
of communication is that you'll have to
make sure that your opponent has a receiver-
meaning that before you consider using
bets and raises to communicate with your
opponent, you'll have to make sure that
he "speaks the language," i.e. that he
understands the message hidden in your
actions. If this is not the case, you
should play straight forward poker, knowing
that deception is wasted on him.
The
first element of your decision has to
do with the level of knowledge of your
opponent, whereas the second pretty much
has to do with the nature of the board.
You don't always want to bet betting straightforwardly.
Often people expect that the person who
led the betting in the previous round
will keep on firing. As they expect this,
a bet in this situation will not make
them stop to think. They will just keep
on calling. In order to make them stop
and think, you'll need to make a move
they don't expect.
A
few examples: I hold QsQh in the BB and
make it 2 bets to go for a 6-way pot.
Flop comes Js9s4h. I bet and everybody
calls. Now this might easily mean that
I'm in trouble. I most certainly am up
against a large number of outs from them
combined, but on the other hand, this
is a flop leaving a lot of draws on the
table. The turn is the 6d. Now with 5
players still in the pot, I'll be damned
if they all check behind me if I check.
As the pre-flop raiser I was expected
to keep firing. A check on the turn amounts
to saying I have AK. And sure enough -
someone decides to bet, and even though
I might be looking at 2 pair at this point,
I will raise, making their draws very
expensive, and winning me a good pot when
my hand holds up.
Another
example; I hold K10o on the button and
call making it 5-way. The flop comes K82
rainbow. It is bet and one player calls
and I call, so we're down to three on
the turn. The turn pairs the deuce. Same
player bets, mid player calls and I raise.
Now this raise might look awfully risky
to you, but it really isn't. My raise
certainly will make my opponents consider
the possibility that I hold a deuce. Unless
one of them holds a deuce, they will call
or fold. The fact is that my K10 might
easily be the best hand out there. Even
if it isn't I might catch a ten on the
river. But the most important thing is
that if I get called I can check the river,
which means that my raise on the turn
hasn't cost me a dime. The only thing
that would hurt me was if somebody decided
to re-raise me on the turn with a hand
that I could beat. And here's your homework
for next week. How often do you think
that you will fold the best hand in this
situation?
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