Poker
Tip of the Week
To be successful
at shorthanded hold'em you must realize
that if you are not careful an individual
could have the best of it by simply always
betting. Hold'em
Poker 2000 edition David Sklansky/Mason
Malmuth
Any semi bluff that
is break even or better can always be
considered a winner.
You bet on the turn
and again you are check raised. Now what
do you do. Well now you have to think.
Do you have the best hand or could the
opponent be bluffing you. What guides
you in your decision. The first thing
you must think about are your opponent
and his check raising requirements. You
must decide if he check raises with top
pair or does he check raise with two pair
or higher. Next look at the opponents
chips. Does the opponents chip stack look
healthy or has it dwindled to a desperate
situation. Many opponents will not check
raise bluff till their situation becomes
desperate often you will catch a bluff
by calling this opponent down. Look to
see if the opponent is a loose wild type
that will try any move to get the pot.
Next you want to decide the probability
that the opponent has the hand that he
is representing. For example you have
AA and the flop comes down Q 3 2. It is
doubtful an opponent will not raise with
QQ from early position. He could have
a 33 or 22. You probably have the best
hand. You may consider a reraise. I use
this example as a simple one but the problem
becomes a lot greater as the flops get
closer together and include flushes. You
must decide what the opponent could have
that he could easily check raise you and
get as close to the answer as you can.
Sometimes you just have to fold as it
is just too easy for the opponent to have
what he represents. So when you are check
raised think long and hard about saving
bets and gaining bets and make higher
earns.
Now
for some single hand analysis heads up.
Remember I am using the latest technology
and program for these calculations. Think
about how you should play the blinds heads
up.
T9s
Win Rate with ties 55.85%
Win
Rate without ties 52.76
Now
the break downs.
Straight
flush win .14 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total
.14 to the black
Four
of a Kind win .18 lose .02 tie .02 Total
.20 to the black
Full
house win 1.81 lose .14 tie .19 Total
2.00 to the black
Flush
win 5.96 lose .30 tie .16 Total 6.12 to
the black
Straight
win 7.46 lose .51 tie .49 Total 7.95 to
the black
Three
of a kind win 2.91 lose 1.04 tie .13 Total
3.04 to the black
Two
pair win 13.75 lose 6.30 tie 1.09 Total
14.84 to the black
One
pair win 18.08 lose 22.37 tie .84 Total
18.92 to the red
No
pair win 2.47 lose 13.48 tie .17 Total
2.64 to the red
A2
offsuit Win Rate with ties 56.58% Win
Rate without ties 52.81
Now
the break downs.
Straight
flush win .01 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total
.01 to the black
Four
of a Kind win .09 lose 0.00 tie 0.00 Total
.09 to the black
Full
House win 1.60 lose .14 tie .22 Total
1.82 to the black
Flush
win 1.53 lose .31 tie .17 Total 1.70 to
the black
Straight
win 2.38 lose .42 tie .53 Total 2.92 to
the black
Three
of a Kind win 3.34 lose .59 tie .10 Total
3.44 to the black
Two
pair win 16.30 lose 5.59 tie .69 Total
16.99 to the black
One
pair win 22.55 lose 21.78 tie 1.51 Total
24.06 to the black
No
pair win 5.01 lose 14.58 tie .54 Total
5.55 to the red
The
hands are broken down to make you think.
Hosh can't do that at the table for you
and get a response.
Play
Well and Have Fun!! Hosh
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