| JV'S 
                                        KILLER POKER: Reality
BY: 
                                        John Vorhaus  
                                        Sometimes in poker, it's hard to accept 
                                        what is. The reason for this is simple: 
                                        Most of the time, the outcome we get is 
                                        not the outcome we want. Any time that 
                                        happens - any time there's a gap between 
                                        what we want and what we get - denial 
                                        tends to creep in. And then it's just 
                                        a short step from that shouldn't have 
                                        happened to that didn't happen at all. 
                                         Example: 
                                        the dreaded ace-on-the-flop in hold'em. 
                                        Holding pocket kings, you raise preflop 
                                        and find yourself up against two or three 
                                        callers. You reasonably assume that an 
                                        ace on the flop will give you cause for 
                                        pause, so you prepare your response in 
                                        advance, resolutely telling yourself that 
                                        if an ace comes, you'll be cool and savvy 
                                        enough to get away from your hand; you 
                                        won't let wishful thinking trap you for 
                                        a bunch of bets. But then that ace does 
                                        come (which it will, after all, about 
                                        a quarter of the time) and here comes 
                                        denial. In your conniving mind, you start 
                                        to calculate all the ways that your opponents 
                                        might not have an ace. Maybe they 
                                        called your raise with lower pairs. Maybe 
                                        they called with big cards or suited connectors. 
                                        Maybe they're just stupid.  
                                        A question, if I may: Have you lost 
                                        your mind?!  
                                        If you were able to step outside the situation 
                                        and examine it dispassionately, you would 
                                        have no trouble concluding that good aces 
                                        - or even bad aces - are exactly the hands 
                                        out there waiting to trap you and your 
                                        wishfully thinking ass. If you were able 
                                        to step outside the situation, you would 
                                        play the hand very carefully, and muck 
                                        your cards at the first sign of strength 
                                        from any reasonably straightforward player. 
                                        If you're not able to step outside 
                                        the situation, denial is the reason why. 
                                        Denial of reality. Denial of what is. 
                                         Here's 
                                        another example, this one from Omaha/8. 
                                        You start out with A-2, and hope for a 
                                        big low flow. Reality tells you that if 
                                        only one low card comes on the flop you 
                                        should get away from that hand, but hope 
                                        trumps reality, and when the flop comes 
                                        K-J-5, you stick around for one more bet 
                                        and one more card. Poor reality. It has 
                                        no chance against the likes of you.  Look, 
                                        at the end of the day there are only two 
                                        things you can do with reality: deny it; 
                                        or accept it. Accepting reality means 
                                        folding when you're beaten. Accepting 
                                        reality means seeing things as they are, 
                                        not as you wish them to be. Accepting 
                                        reality means acknowledging that some 
                                        undeserving lucky bastard drew out on 
                                        you (as undeserving lucky bastards will.) 
                                        Accepting reality means taking life on 
                                        life's terms, and poker on poker's terms. 
                                         This 
                                        is a hard course. For many players out 
                                        there it's not just hard but actively 
                                        impossible. They're so caught up in denial, 
                                        so alive in the fantasy of themselves 
                                        as tricky, dominant, deserving 
                                        players that they have no means of coping 
                                        with adversity at all. You will know these 
                                        players by their reactions when reality 
                                        swings them around by the tail. They'll 
                                        throw cards. Berate foes. Curse dealers. 
                                        Curse the gods. They'll do anything in 
                                        their power to convince themselves that 
                                        what just happened should not have 
                                        happened and therefore, in some internally 
                                        tangible way, did not even happen at 
                                        all.  There's 
                                        only one thing to do with players like 
                                        this: Attack them. Attack them because 
                                        they are vulnerable. Their own sad detachment 
                                        from reality leaves them easily manipulated. 
                                        They'll call your value bets because they 
                                        dare not let themselves believe you bluff. 
                                        They'll call your aces with kings because 
                                        they dare not believe that their big pairs 
                                        can be beaten. They'll call your draws 
                                        (which you only take with the best of 
                                        it, of course) because they can't believe 
                                        that the gods would betray them by letting 
                                        you suck out. They'll call because their 
                                        game is all about denial. And not about 
                                        reality at all.  
                                        (John Vorhaus is author 
                                        of the KILLER POKER series and News Ambassador 
                                        for UltimateBet.com.) |