| JV'S 
                                        KILLER POKER: SUBJECTIVE REALITYBY: 
                                        John Vorhaus  
                                        "What makes you think those players 
                                        are any better than the ones you already 
                                        face?" This question was put to me recently 
                                        as I contemplated moving up to a new, 
                                        high level, but feared that my opponents 
                                        there would be some kind of perfect poker 
                                        bots capable of shredding me the instant 
                                        I sat down. It got me thinking... where 
                                        had I encountered that fear before?  That's 
                                        right: the last time I moved up.  
                                        Think about your own experience of playing 
                                        at successively higher levels. When you 
                                        approach the new level, you approach it 
                                        with a certain trepidation, a fear based 
                                        on the assumption that, just because they're 
                                        playing for more money they must necessarily 
                                        be playing better poker. This may be true, 
                                        but then again it may not. Until you test 
                                        the assumption, you won't know for sure. 
                                         You 
                                        have tested similar assumptions before. 
                                        You moved up from a lower limit to a higher 
                                        one and found - mirable dictu! 
                                        - that those players put their pants on 
                                        one leg at a time just like you do. Maybe, 
                                        once you found this out, you even wondered 
                                        what took you so long to move up. Now 
                                        you know: fear, and assumptions; in short, 
                                        subjective reality.  Can 
                                        you remember being in fourth grade and 
                                        looking at the sophistication and intelligence 
                                        of the fifth graders and thinking, "Geez, 
                                        I'll never be that smart"? Then fifth 
                                        grade came, and it didn't seem like such 
                                        a problem. By the time you got to sixth 
                                        grade, those fifth graders seemed quite 
                                        quaint and small. Same with your poker. 
                                        If all you play is $2-4, then the $4-8 
                                        game looks huge, and the players look 
                                        like champs. But if all you play is $20-40, 
                                        the $4-8 game looks vanishingly small 
                                        and the players more like chumps or chimps. 
                                        It's all about subjective reality: What 
                                        you see depends on where you stand.  You 
                                        can use subjective reality to manipulate 
                                        the way other players react and relate 
                                        to you. We've talked, for example, about 
                                        the impact it has on your foes when you 
                                        buy into a game for twice as much as anyone 
                                        else. Objective reality says that you're 
                                        not gambling any more or less than you 
                                        otherwise would: You're prepared to put 
                                        some fixed part of your bankroll into 
                                        play. But if you put all of that part 
                                        into play at the start, if you make a 
                                        statement with it, you shape how people 
                                        perceive you. Maybe they think you're 
                                        a bully. Maybe they think you're a showboat. 
                                        Maybe they think you're insane. In every 
                                        case it's better than having them think 
                                        you're a normal player whom they can easily 
                                        beat. And when a new player sits down 
                                        in the game, his own untested assumptions 
                                        will cause him to look at your big pile 
                                        of chips and conclude that you're a big 
                                        winner, a force to be feared.  Or 
                                        you could try the table dance: 
                                        Sit down in a new game and immediately 
                                        ask for a table change. If the game you're 
                                        in and the game that becomes available 
                                        are equally good, go ahead and dance on 
                                        over to the new table. Why? Because a 
                                        player taking a table change is often 
                                        perceived as a player in retreat. Why 
                                        would he change tables unless he couldn't 
                                        beat the game he was in? When you 
                                        change tables on this basis, you let other 
                                        players' false assumptions - their subjective 
                                        reality - work for you. You come into 
                                        the game looking like a player who's running 
                                        scared. Those players among your foes 
                                        who routinely get out of line will now 
                                        get extra out of line because they 
                                        think they see an easy mark. You then 
                                        prove them wrong with superior play, and 
                                        they find themselves wondering how they 
                                        could have misjudged you so badly. Answer: 
                                        You guided them to a false conclusion. 
                                         But 
                                        you have to be careful with subjective 
                                        reality. It is, as they say, a powerful 
                                        force that can only be used for good or 
                                        for evil.  Contemplate, 
                                        for example, the distinction between junk 
                                        and junque. Junque is a 
                                        word I use to describe hands that look 
                                        like junk, but can be played profitably 
                                        in certain situations, especially in concert 
                                        with subjective reality. Suppose you've 
                                        just table danced into a new hold 'em 
                                        game, and early on you pick up 8-9s. Most 
                                        players wouldn't raise with this hand, 
                                        and mostly I wouldn't either. But if I've 
                                        painted a picture of myself as someone 
                                        who's running scared or tilty from another 
                                        game, I might take a shot with it. If 
                                        my hand hits, I have the benefit of huge 
                                        deception, and if it misses, I can get 
                                        away from it cheaply enough, no real harm 
                                        done.  But 
                                        that's junque. What if it's junk? 
                                        What if that hand is 8-3, and I try to 
                                        make the exact same move? Then I'm in 
                                        there running a pure bluff from the start. 
                                        That's not so good. That's actual 
                                        chaos, as opposed to perceived 
                                        chaos, and that's just a whole different 
                                        kettle of fish.  So 
                                        remember, this subjective reality business 
                                        cuts both ways. As you study yourself, 
                                        your opponents and your relationship to 
                                        the game, understand that things are not 
                                        always what they seem; for instance, players 
                                        at higher levels may not be as 
                                        dominating as you think. Test your assumptions. 
                                        At the same time, recognize that your 
                                        less-informed, more straightforward opponents 
                                        may not be testing theirs, and that you 
                                        can use their fixed perceptions against 
                                        them.  Just 
                                        don't confuse the two.  Don't 
                                        confuse deception with delusion.  Don't 
                                        confuse junque with junk. 
                                         Don't 
                                        justify a bad move by calling it elegant 
                                        misdirection. Dig a little deeper and 
                                        you may find that your primary motivation 
                                        is not to win money but just to 
                                        be in action. In that case, you 
                                        have crossed the line from deception to 
                                        delusion, and subjective reality is eroding 
                                        your play and your stack.  Be 
                                        tricky. By all means be as tricky as humanly 
                                        possible. Just don't become so tricky 
                                        that you lose sight of why you're doing 
                                        what you're doing. Your goal, after all, 
                                        is to trick your opponents.  Not 
                                        yourself. |